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2023-02-09

Model Predictions

Model Dallas Mavericks LA Clippers Spread Result
Elo 24.4% 75.6% -
Bradley-Terry 33.5% 66.5% -
Margin 31.2% 68.8% +4.4 (10.4 off)
Pythagorean 48.3% 51.7% -
Efficiency 48.0% 52.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 51.2% 48.8% -
Log Adjusted 51.2% 48.8% -
Points Off/Def 46.3% 53.7% -

Actual: LA Clippers -6 (104-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Reggie Bullock * 41 6-13 6-12 0-0 5 6 2 0 18 18 -
Josh Green * 40 5-7 1-2 3-4 5 1 2 1 14 16 -
Kyrie Irving * 36 9-17 4-8 2-2 4 5 1 1 24 18 -
Tim Hardaway Jr. * 35 7-16 4-9 1-2 5 6 1 0 19 15 -
Dwight Powell * 23 5-8 0-0 0-2 6 2 1 0 10 11 -
Christian Wood 16 2-4 0-1 2-2 6 1 0 1 6 10 -
Theo Pinson 15 3-4 2-2 1-2 2 4 0 0 9 11 -
Jaden Hardy 12 3-5 0-1 2-3 3 0 0 0 8 6 -
McKinley Wright IV 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 3 -
JaVale McGee 6 1-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 3 2 7 -

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Terance Mann * 35 7-12 4-7 3-4 3 4 0 0 21 16 -
Paul George * 33 8-20 3-9 1-2 5 4 1 0 20 10 -
Kawhi Leonard * 32 7-12 1-1 3-4 4 4 2 1 18 17 -
Marcus Morris Sr. * 30 1-8 0-1 0-0 6 4 2 0 2 6 -
Ivica Zubac * 28 3-3 0-0 3-5 10 0 0 2 9 18 -
Norman Powell 27 8-17 2-6 6-6 7 1 3 0 24 18 -
Reggie Jackson 17 3-5 1-2 0-0 2 3 0 0 7 7 -
Nicolas Batum 14 0-3 0-3 0-0 2 0 1 1 0 1 -
Robert Covington 11 1-5 1-4 0-0 1 1 1 0 3 1 -
Luke Kennard 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Moussa Diabate 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter