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2023-02-09

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 24.2% 75.8% -
Bradley-Terry 33.1% 66.9% -
Margin 22.5% 77.5% +6.8 (8.8 off)
Pythagorean 60.5% 39.5% -
Efficiency 79.1% 20.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 74.7% 25.3% -
Log Adjusted 74.7% 25.3% -
Points Off/Def 64.6% 35.4% -

Actual: Houston Rockets -2 (128-130). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
De'Aaron Fox * 37 11-23 0-3 9-10 5 11 2 0 31 - -
Harrison Barnes * 33 5-10 1-2 5-5 2 0 0 0 16 - -
Keegan Murray * 32 4-9 2-4 0-0 6 0 2 0 10 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 32 8-15 0-2 6-7 9 5 1 0 22 - -
Kevin Huerter * 20 2-7 1-6 2-2 0 2 1 1 7 - -
Malik Monk 28 5-11 3-6 4-4 4 3 2 0 17 - -
Terence Davis 15 4-7 2-3 0-0 0 1 1 0 10 - -
Trey Lyles 15 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 - -
Chimezie Metu 12 4-4 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 2 8 - -
Davion Mitchell 12 3-4 1-2 2-2 0 5 1 0 9 - -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jalen Green * 36 14-22 6-9 7-9 2 2 0 0 41 - -
Alperen Sengun * 34 7-11 1-2 3-4 9 11 1 1 18 - -
Kenyon Martin Jr. * 34 5-8 1-3 4-4 5 0 1 2 15 - -
Eric Gordon * 31 3-7 1-3 2-2 1 4 1 1 9 - -
Jabari Smith Jr. * 31 3-6 0-2 3-4 6 4 0 2 9 - -
Jae'Sean Tate 25 7-14 1-2 1-1 6 2 0 0 16 - -
Tari Eason 20 4-8 0-1 2-2 4 0 0 0 10 - -
Bruno Fernando 13 3-9 0-0 0-0 10 1 0 1 6 - -
Josh Christopher 11 1-1 0-0 2-2 1 1 1 0 4 - -

* = starter