Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.7% | 60.3% | +2.3 | ✓ (11.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 13.1% | 86.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.2% | 78.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +14 (112-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keldon Johnson * | 36 | 8-17 | 1-6 | 5-7 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson * | 31 | 4-15 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 14 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham * | 28 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 27 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop * | 27 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 23 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins | 19 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Roby | 18 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 14 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Stanley Johnson | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam * | 39 | 15-21 | 3-3 | 4-5 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 37 | - | - | |
| Scottie Barnes * | 38 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Fred VanVleet * | 36 | 5-16 | 1-7 | 5-5 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Gary Trent Jr. * | 33 | 6-16 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Precious Achiuwa * | 28 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 29 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 18 | - | - | |
| Thaddeus Young | 15 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Malachi Flynn | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Juancho Hernangomez | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Christian Koloko | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter