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2023-02-09

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 26.5% 73.5% -
Bradley-Terry 19.4% 80.6% -
Margin 9.9% 90.1% +12.1 (5.1 off)
Pythagorean 44.5% 55.5% -
Efficiency 39.1% 60.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 39.2% 60.8% -
Log Adjusted 39.2% 60.8% -
Points Off/Def 38.1% 61.9% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +7 (106-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Joel Embiid * 39 11-21 1-3 5-7 7 1 2 1 28 - -
James Harden * 37 8-14 3-7 7-8 3 11 1 1 26 - -
De'Anthony Melton * 32 5-8 2-4 0-0 4 3 1 0 12 - -
Tobias Harris * 32 2-10 0-4 0-0 4 1 1 0 4 - -
P.J. Tucker * 24 3-4 2-3 0-0 4 1 0 1 8 - -
Tyrese Maxey 22 3-14 0-3 0-1 5 2 0 0 6 - -
Georges Niang 20 2-6 1-5 3-4 3 0 2 0 8 - -
Shake Milton 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 - -
Matisse Thybulle 9 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 3 - -
Montrezl Harrell 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Grant Williams * 39 5-10 4-6 1-2 8 5 1 0 15 - -
Derrick White * 38 8-13 3-6 0-0 6 3 0 2 19 - -
Jayson Tatum * 37 5-15 1-5 1-3 8 9 1 1 12 - -
Blake Griffin * 18 5-8 5-8 0-0 2 1 0 0 15 - -
Jaylen Brown * 17 2-9 0-4 0-0 2 3 0 0 4 - -
Malcolm Brogdon 35 7-12 2-2 3-3 5 3 0 0 19 - -
Luke Kornet 28 3-3 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 2 8 - -
Sam Hauser 20 5-6 4-4 0-0 8 0 0 0 14 - -
Payton Pritchard 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter