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2023-02-09

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 53.5% 46.5% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 31.2% 68.8% - ✓
Margin 22.1% 77.9% +6.9 ✓ (21.1 off)
Pythagorean 28.9% 71.1% - ✓
Efficiency 9.6% 90.4% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 11.5% 88.5% - ✓
Log Adjusted 11.5% 88.5% - ✓
Points Off/Def 19.0% 81.0% - ✓

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +28 (113-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bojan Bogdanovic * 31 4-13 1-5 6-7 3 3 0 0 15 - -
Killian Hayes * 29 4-9 1-4 0-0 2 6 2 0 9 - -
Isaiah Stewart * 28 4-12 1-5 0-0 7 3 1 1 9 - -
Jalen Duren * 27 6-8 0-0 2-2 9 2 0 3 14 - -
Jaden Ivey * 25 3-6 2-3 2-2 1 1 1 0 10 - -
Saddiq Bey 22 1-6 1-4 4-4 6 0 0 0 7 - -
Isaiah Livers 19 2-4 1-3 1-1 0 0 0 0 6 - -
Cory Joseph 17 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 3 1 1 3 - -
Alec Burks 15 1-10 0-4 2-2 0 1 2 0 4 - -
Hamidou Diallo 14 4-6 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 8 - -
Kevin Knox II 4 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 - -
Nerlens Noel 3 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Raul Neto * 35 5-11 1-4 3-3 0 8 4 0 14 - -
Evan Mobley * 32 7-14 0-0 5-6 8 3 0 0 19 - -
Caris LeVert * 29 5-16 0-5 5-5 5 5 2 0 15 - -
Jarrett Allen * 29 9-13 0-0 2-5 15 1 0 1 20 - -
Isaac Okoro * 27 2-4 1-3 2-2 4 5 0 2 7 - -
Dean Wade 30 3-4 2-3 2-2 9 0 0 1 10 - -
Cedi Osman 23 3-13 0-6 0-0 4 3 0 0 6 - -
Ricky Rubio 16 3-5 0-2 2-2 2 4 2 0 8 - -
Lamar Stevens 11 4-4 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 9 - -
Robin Lopez 3 2-2 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 5 - -

* = starter