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2023-02-08

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 62.9% 37.1% -
Bradley-Terry 56.5% 43.5% -
Margin 59.6% 40.4% -2.1 (11.1 off)
Pythagorean 44.0% 56.0% -
Efficiency 40.4% 59.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 41.7% 58.3% -
Log Adjusted 41.7% 58.3% -
Points Off/Def 40.0% 60.0% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +9 (116-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dejounte Murray * 39 8-17 3-8 0-0 5 7 1 0 19 - -
Trae Young * 35 4-14 2-8 6-6 3 16 1 0 16 - -
John Collins * 30 6-9 1-2 2-2 6 1 0 2 15 - -
De'Andre Hunter * 27 0-9 0-5 3-4 4 1 1 0 3 - -
Clint Capela * 23 5-7 0-0 3-5 8 0 0 0 13 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic 30 7-13 5-9 3-5 3 2 1 0 22 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 19 3-4 0-0 2-3 5 2 0 3 8 - -
AJ Griffin 18 2-5 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 1 5 - -
Jalen Johnson 14 3-7 0-1 0-0 6 1 0 0 6 - -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Herbert Jones * 39 4-7 0-1 3-5 9 4 3 1 11 - -
Brandon Ingram * 35 11-18 0-1 8-9 3 8 1 0 30 - -
CJ McCollum * 34 8-23 4-12 1-2 6 7 0 0 21 - -
Trey Murphy III * 31 6-13 4-9 0-0 4 2 0 0 16 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 25 8-10 0-0 0-0 14 1 0 1 16 - -
Naji Marshall 24 2-5 2-4 1-2 0 1 2 0 7 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 22 3-6 0-0 1-3 6 2 2 0 7 - -
Jose Alvarado 16 2-5 2-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 6 - -
Kira Lewis Jr. 9 1-4 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 - -

* = starter