Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.4% | 44.6% | -1.2 | ✓ (17.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 70.9% | 29.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.7% | 30.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.7% | 30.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -19 (108-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brook Lopez * | 31 | 9-12 | 2-5 | 7-9 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Jrue Holiday * | 31 | 9-20 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen * | 25 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton * | 22 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 22 | 9-14 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 13 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Wesley Matthews | 22 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Khris Middleton | 21 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jevon Carter | 21 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Joe Ingles | 20 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| MarJon Beauchamp | 13 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Thanasis Antetokounmpo | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerami Grant * | 36 | 4-13 | 1-7 | 4-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Anfernee Simons * | 34 | 8-16 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Damian Lillard * | 31 | 7-18 | 2-7 | 12-12 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Josh Hart * | 25 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks * | 25 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Shaedon Sharpe | 24 | 0-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Trendon Watford | 18 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Gary Payton II | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Nassir Little | 11 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| John Butler Jr. | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jabari Walker | 5 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Greg Brown III | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter