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2023-02-07

Model Predictions

Model Oklahoma City Thunder Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 53.9% 46.1% -
Bradley-Terry 63.6% 36.4% -
Margin 71.4% 28.6% -5.0 (32.0 off)
Pythagorean 47.7% 52.3% -
Efficiency 44.9% 55.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 44.4% 55.6% -
Log Adjusted 44.4% 55.6% -
Points Off/Def 42.1% 57.9% -

Actual: Golden State Warriors +27 (141-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * 29 6-16 0-1 8-8 0 4 0 0 20 8 -
Josh Giddey * 28 6-12 0-1 3-4 7 8 1 1 15 20 -
Jalen Williams * 25 3-7 0-2 2-6 5 1 3 1 8 11 -
Aaron Wiggins * 25 8-10 2-3 1-1 2 1 2 0 19 14 -
Jaylin Williams * 20 2-4 1-2 0-0 5 0 0 0 5 6 -
Tre Mann 25 8-17 2-6 0-0 2 1 0 0 18 4 -
Kenrich Williams 19 4-8 1-5 0-0 4 2 0 0 9 7 -
Isaiah Joe 18 2-4 2-4 0-0 3 0 1 0 6 6 -
Mike Muscala 15 0-3 0-2 0-0 3 3 0 1 0 4 -
Lindy Waters III 15 3-5 2-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 8 6 -
Darius Bazley 8 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 3 3 -
Eugene Omoruyi 8 1-4 0-1 1-2 3 0 0 0 3 2 -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Klay Thompson * 33 15-22 12-16 0-0 3 1 0 0 42 24 -
Andrew Wiggins * 31 8-15 1-5 1-2 3 4 1 1 18 12 -
Jordan Poole * 29 8-14 5-10 0-0 4 12 0 0 21 23 -
Draymond Green * 27 3-4 0-1 1-2 10 4 3 2 7 22 -
Jonathan Kuminga * 22 3-9 1-3 0-0 2 5 0 0 7 5 -
Donte DiVincenzo 27 5-10 4-8 0-0 4 7 0 0 14 15 -
Kevon Looney 21 2-3 0-0 0-0 11 4 1 0 4 17 -
Ty Jerome 18 2-6 1-2 1-2 3 4 0 0 6 7 -
JaMychal Green 11 5-7 2-3 0-1 3 1 0 0 12 9 -
Moses Moody 10 2-4 0-2 0-0 0 1 1 0 4 2 -
James Wiseman 4 3-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 6 5 -

* = starter