Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Utah Jazz | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 67.9% | 32.1% | -4.1 | ✓ (8.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Utah Jazz -13 (111-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Green * | 37 | 10-17 | 3-6 | 6-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 34 | 5-16 | 3-7 | 4-7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock * | 33 | 5-11 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 28 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| McKinley Wright IV * | 19 | 5-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 25 | 8-12 | 4-6 | 9-9 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Christian Wood | 18 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| A.J. Lawson | 12 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Theo Pinson | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Frank Ntilikina | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Chris Silva | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauri Markkanen * | 36 | 9-17 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Jordan Clarkson * | 32 | 7-19 | 0-5 | 12-15 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Mike Conley * | 31 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk * | 28 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Walker Kessler * | 26 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | - | - | |
| Collin Sexton | 25 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley | 23 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gay | 15 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Ochai Agbaji | 13 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Udoka Azubuike | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter