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2023-02-07

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 24.2% 75.8% -
Bradley-Terry 33.1% 66.9% -
Margin 22.5% 77.5% +6.8 (26.8 off)
Pythagorean 60.5% 39.5% -
Efficiency 79.1% 20.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 74.7% 25.3% -
Log Adjusted 74.7% 25.3% -
Points Off/Def 64.6% 35.4% -

Actual: Houston Rockets -20 (120-140). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Keegan Murray * 32 11-17 8-12 0-0 6 1 2 0 30 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 31 7-10 1-2 2-2 7 10 2 0 17 - -
De'Aaron Fox * 29 5-12 0-1 6-9 4 8 2 1 16 - -
Kevin Huerter * 28 7-12 2-7 0-0 4 4 1 1 16 - -
Harrison Barnes * 26 3-9 0-3 3-3 5 3 0 0 9 - -
Malik Monk 22 6-12 4-7 4-4 1 2 0 0 20 - -
Davion Mitchell 17 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 5 0 0 5 - -
Trey Lyles 15 6-7 2-3 0-0 2 0 1 0 14 - -
Chimezie Metu 13 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 2 4 - -
Terence Davis 12 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 1 3 - -
Keon Ellis 3 2-2 2-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 6 - -
Matthew Dellavedova 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 - -
Alex Len 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Deonte Burton 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Alperen Sengun * 36 4-10 1-2 6-6 7 7 0 0 15 - -
Jabari Smith Jr. * 34 5-15 1-6 2-2 5 2 0 0 13 - -
Jalen Green * 33 10-21 5-11 2-3 3 3 2 0 27 - -
Kenyon Martin Jr. * 32 8-10 2-2 0-1 8 1 0 0 18 - -
Eric Gordon * 31 5-7 3-5 3-4 0 8 2 1 16 - -
Jae'Sean Tate 21 4-7 0-1 1-2 4 3 0 1 9 - -
Tari Eason 18 2-4 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 1 4 - -
Josh Christopher 15 2-5 0-1 1-2 0 1 1 0 5 - -
Bruno Fernando 9 1-3 0-0 4-4 5 0 0 1 6 - -
TyTy Washington Jr. 2 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Darius Days 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 - -
Usman Garuba 2 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 - -

* = starter