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2023-02-07

Model Predictions

Model San Antonio Spurs Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 63.6% 36.4% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 41.1% 58.9% - ✓
Margin 38.6% 61.4% +2.5 ✓ (21.5 off)
Pythagorean 30.2% 69.8% - ✓
Efficiency 13.6% 86.4% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 14.7% 85.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 14.6% 85.4% - ✓
Points Off/Def 20.7% 79.3% - ✓

Actual: Chicago Bulls +24 (128-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Malaki Branham * 32 6-18 3-8 0-0 5 4 0 0 15 - -
Josh Richardson * 31 5-14 1-4 0-0 0 3 4 0 11 - -
Keldon Johnson * 29 8-12 0-2 5-5 2 2 1 0 21 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 29 6-11 0-1 2-3 9 4 0 2 14 - -
Keita Bates-Diop * 25 3-5 1-2 2-2 5 2 0 1 9 - -
Blake Wesley 22 2-6 1-1 0-0 5 1 1 0 5 - -
Doug McDermott 18 2-7 2-4 0-0 2 3 0 0 6 - -
Stanley Johnson 17 1-1 0-0 1-1 3 3 1 0 3 - -
Isaiah Roby 14 3-6 0-2 2-2 4 1 0 0 8 - -
Zach Collins 12 3-8 0-2 2-2 2 2 0 0 8 - -
Dominick Barlow 5 1-2 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 4 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 33 8-17 0-1 3-3 1 5 1 0 19 - -
Zach LaVine * 30 7-14 1-5 5-5 4 3 0 0 20 - -
Ayo Dosunmu * 30 4-6 0-0 2-2 4 4 0 0 10 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 23 10-18 2-6 0-0 12 4 1 2 22 - -
Patrick Williams * 18 4-7 1-2 2-2 6 3 1 0 11 - -
Coby White 33 4-8 1-4 3-3 1 4 2 0 12 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. 26 1-2 1-1 2-2 3 1 2 2 5 - -
Andre Drummond 20 9-9 0-0 3-4 15 1 3 1 21 - -
Goran Dragic 15 2-5 0-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 4 - -
Tony Bradley 3 0-1 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Dalen Terry 3 1-2 0-1 0-2 0 0 0 1 2 - -

* = starter