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2023-02-07

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 38.8% 61.2% -
Bradley-Terry 60.4% 39.6% -
Margin 69.5% 30.5% -4.5 (7.5 off)
Pythagorean 66.2% 33.8% -
Efficiency 86.1% 13.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 84.5% 15.5% -
Log Adjusted 84.5% 15.5% -
Points Off/Def 73.9% 26.1% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons -12 (99-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 39 11-24 3-9 9-10 11 6 0 1 34 - -
Derrick White * 37 8-17 2-4 5-5 7 7 0 0 23 - -
Al Horford * 32 1-6 1-4 0-0 6 3 0 0 3 - -
Sam Hauser * 31 5-10 5-9 0-0 6 1 0 1 15 - -
Robert Williams III * 28 7-9 0-0 1-2 15 2 2 1 15 - -
Malcolm Brogdon 25 5-10 4-6 2-2 1 4 0 2 16 - -
Grant Williams 20 1-4 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 - -
Blake Griffin 13 0-0 0-0 0-2 2 1 0 0 0 - -
Payton Pritchard 11 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bojan Bogdanovic * 33 6-11 2-4 7-7 3 1 1 1 21 - -
Isaiah Stewart * 31 4-12 0-7 2-4 12 0 0 0 10 - -
Jalen Duren * 27 3-4 0-0 1-1 14 0 0 0 7 - -
Jaden Ivey * 26 5-12 1-3 3-5 1 5 0 0 14 - -
Alec Burks * 18 2-8 1-5 0-0 0 2 1 0 5 - -
Killian Hayes 32 7-16 3-7 0-0 2 9 2 1 17 - -
Saddiq Bey 30 5-15 1-5 3-3 6 4 2 1 14 - -
Isaiah Livers 22 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 2 1 5 - -
Hamidou Diallo 17 3-6 0-0 0-1 3 1 1 2 6 - -

* = starter