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2023-02-06

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 44.7% 55.3% -
Bradley-Terry 54.4% 45.6% -
Margin 58.3% 41.7% -1.8 (33.8 off)
Pythagorean 47.8% 52.2% -
Efficiency 50.9% 49.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 49.2% 50.8% -
Log Adjusted 49.3% 50.7% -
Points Off/Def 45.2% 54.8% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +32 (136-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Davion Mitchell * 29 4-11 1-6 1-1 2 2 1 0 10 4 -
Domantas Sabonis * 27 5-10 1-1 1-1 11 3 0 0 12 16 -
Keegan Murray * 25 1-7 0-6 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 0 -
Harrison Barnes * 23 1-3 0-1 5-6 2 1 0 1 7 8 -
Kevin Huerter * 20 3-8 2-7 2-3 0 0 1 0 10 3 -
Malik Monk 23 7-13 0-4 2-2 4 3 1 0 16 11 -
Matthew Dellavedova 18 2-4 1-2 2-2 1 6 0 0 7 10 -
Keon Ellis 16 3-5 2-3 2-3 4 2 2 1 10 14 -
Terence Davis 15 3-9 1-7 0-0 4 2 0 0 7 4 -
Trey Lyles 14 2-4 2-3 6-6 2 2 0 0 12 12 -
Chimezie Metu 10 2-3 1-2 2-2 2 1 0 2 7 9 -
Richaun Holmes 10 2-4 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 1 4 3 -
Deonte Burton 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trey Murphy III * 35 9-11 6-8 6-7 4 2 1 0 30 26 -
Herbert Jones * 33 2-6 0-0 1-2 2 2 1 1 5 5 -
Naji Marshall * 24 7-12 0-2 3-6 6 4 2 0 17 17 -
CJ McCollum * 22 9-11 3-4 3-3 2 4 1 0 24 20 -
Larry Nance Jr. * 19 4-6 0-0 2-4 9 1 1 1 10 16 -
Willy Hernangomez 28 7-16 0-2 8-8 16 4 0 1 22 27 -
Kira Lewis Jr. 21 4-7 2-2 1-1 4 4 0 0 11 12 -
Jaxson Hayes 19 2-5 0-0 2-3 4 0 4 0 6 9 -
Devonte' Graham 15 2-5 2-5 0-0 0 3 0 0 6 4 -
Jose Alvarado 14 1-5 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 0 -
Garrett Temple 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 3 -

* = starter