🐻⬇️🏀

@
2023-02-06

Model Predictions

Model Denver Nuggets Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 45.5% 54.5% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 49.4% 50.6% - ✓
Margin 39.7% 60.3% +2.3 ✓ (27.7 off)
Pythagorean 51.3% 48.7% - ✗
Efficiency 64.2% 35.8% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 58.6% 41.4% - ✗
Log Adjusted 58.6% 41.4% - ✗
Points Off/Def 51.3% 48.7% - ✗

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +30 (128-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Christian Braun * 33 7-10 2-2 3-4 5 1 0 1 19 - -
Michael Porter Jr. * 31 7-16 2-10 6-8 3 1 1 1 22 - -
Vlatko Cancar * 29 2-5 0-1 2-2 5 3 0 0 6 - -
Bruce Brown * 28 4-9 1-4 7-8 2 7 1 0 16 - -
DeAndre Jordan * 24 3-5 0-0 0-1 6 0 1 1 6 - -
Zeke Nnaji 23 4-5 1-2 1-2 1 0 0 1 10 - -
Ish Smith 21 5-9 0-0 0-0 7 5 0 0 10 - -
Davon Reed 19 0-4 0-1 2-2 2 1 2 0 2 - -
Jeff Green 17 1-7 0-5 3-4 3 0 1 1 5 - -
Peyton Watson 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 - -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaden McDaniels * 31 5-10 0-0 4-4 4 6 1 0 14 - -
Anthony Edwards * 30 8-17 1-5 3-5 4 3 2 0 20 - -
D'Angelo Russell * 29 6-9 3-5 3-4 1 10 1 0 18 - -
Rudy Gobert * 17 7-8 0-0 2-4 8 1 0 1 16 - -
Kyle Anderson * 13 1-1 0-0 2-2 3 1 1 0 4 - -
Jaylen Nowell 27 6-10 2-5 2-2 4 4 0 0 16 - -
Taurean Prince 26 4-12 1-5 0-0 4 2 1 1 9 - -
Nathan Knight 15 2-5 0-0 4-6 3 0 1 0 8 - -
Naz Reid 14 3-3 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 7 - -
Matt Ryan 13 3-6 2-5 2-3 0 1 0 0 10 - -
Jordan McLaughlin 11 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 3 0 0 2 - -
Wendell Moore Jr. 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -
Josh Minott 4 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -

* = starter