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2023-02-05

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 60.1% 39.9% -
Bradley-Terry 37.9% 62.1% -
Margin 27.3% 72.7% +5.4 (8.4 off)
Pythagorean 45.4% 54.6% -
Efficiency 40.5% 59.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 44.0% 56.0% -
Log Adjusted 44.0% 56.0% -
Points Off/Def 40.7% 59.3% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -3 (103-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Fred VanVleet * 38 6-19 2-9 1-1 5 7 0 1 15 - -
Gary Trent Jr. * 37 5-14 0-3 0-1 2 0 0 0 10 - -
Scottie Barnes * 35 7-15 2-6 0-0 7 2 2 2 16 - -
Precious Achiuwa * 30 5-12 0-3 0-0 7 0 4 0 10 - -
Pascal Siakam * 28 7-17 2-6 3-4 6 5 1 0 19 - -
Chris Boucher 27 7-10 3-4 0-0 10 1 0 0 17 - -
Thaddeus Young 25 5-8 1-2 3-6 4 4 2 0 14 - -
Malachi Flynn 17 2-6 1-3 0-0 1 5 2 0 5 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyus Jones * 33 4-9 0-1 1-1 8 7 3 0 9 - -
Santi Aldama * 32 5-11 2-8 3-3 6 4 0 2 15 - -
Desmond Bane * 32 10-17 4-7 2-2 2 4 4 1 26 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 31 7-17 0-6 4-7 8 0 0 4 18 - -
Xavier Tillman * 31 4-7 0-0 4-7 9 3 1 0 12 - -
John Konchar 18 1-1 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 2 3 - -
Danny Green 18 2-5 2-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 6 - -
Brandon Clarke 15 2-5 0-0 2-2 5 3 0 0 6 - -
David Roddy 13 2-3 1-1 1-1 1 1 2 0 6 - -
Ziaire Williams 11 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 - -

* = starter