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2023-02-05

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 48.7% 51.3% -
Bradley-Terry 27.4% 72.6% -
Margin 21.5% 78.5% +7.1 (3.9 off)
Pythagorean 48.2% 51.8% -
Efficiency 51.1% 48.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 51.8% 48.2% -
Log Adjusted 51.8% 48.2% -
Points Off/Def 46.7% 53.3% -

Actual: New York Knicks +11 (108-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tobias Harris * 38 5-12 1-3 3-3 10 3 0 1 14 - -
James Harden * 38 4-11 0-4 4-6 8 12 2 1 12 - -
Joel Embiid * 36 6-16 1-4 18-19 14 3 0 1 31 - -
De'Anthony Melton * 35 5-7 3-4 1-3 3 3 1 1 14 - -
P.J. Tucker * 26 4-6 2-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 10 - -
Tyrese Maxey 23 4-8 0-1 4-5 1 0 0 0 12 - -
Matisse Thybulle 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 - -
Shake Milton 9 1-5 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Georges Niang 9 0-5 0-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Paul Reed 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Montrezl Harrell 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jalen Brunson * 39 6-16 1-3 8-12 5 7 1 0 21 - -
Julius Randle * 34 8-19 1-8 7-8 9 7 0 0 24 - -
Quentin Grimes * 30 5-11 1-5 2-3 3 1 0 0 13 - -
Immanuel Quickley * 28 2-8 0-3 1-2 3 1 1 0 5 - -
Jericho Sims * 22 2-2 0-0 4-6 7 1 2 0 8 - -
Isaiah Hartenstein 25 1-1 0-0 0-0 14 1 0 1 2 - -
Evan Fournier 23 6-11 5-8 0-0 1 1 1 0 17 - -
Miles McBride 22 3-8 3-6 5-6 3 2 0 0 14 - -
Obi Toppin 13 1-3 1-3 1-2 4 0 0 0 4 - -

* = starter