Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.4% | 78.6% | +7.1 | ✓ (12.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +20 (128-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dejounte Murray * | 35 | 10-21 | 3-8 | 5-7 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 28 | - | - | |
| De'Andre Hunter * | 31 | 7-15 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| John Collins * | 30 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 26 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| AJ Griffin * | 26 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic | 30 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 19 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jalen Johnson | 16 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Trent Forrest | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 7 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Frank Kaminsky | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Vit Krejci | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 36 | 15-24 | 7-12 | 4-4 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 41 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 34 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 18 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 14 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 29 | 9-16 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 29 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 32 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown | 23 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 22 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 13 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Davon Reed | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Ish Smith | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter