Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.4% | 72.6% | +5.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors +6 (119-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 35 | 7-16 | 5-10 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 12 | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 33 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 5-6 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 19 | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 32 | 9-17 | 3-6 | 4-5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 17 | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 29 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 18 | - | |
| Josh Green * | 26 | 5-12 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - | |
| Reggie Bullock | 35 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 12 | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 13 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - | |
| McKinley Wright IV | 13 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - | |
| A.J. Lawson | 11 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - | |
| Theo Pinson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Frank Ntilikina | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draymond Green * | 32 | 6-13 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 24 | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 30 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 8 | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 28 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - | |
| Stephen Curry * | 25 | 7-11 | 2-6 | 5-5 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 23 | - | |
| Kevon Looney * | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - | |
| Jordan Poole | 26 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - | |
| Donte DiVincenzo | 23 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - | |
| Jonathan Kuminga | 19 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - | |
| Ty Jerome | 17 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 15 | 6-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 18 | - |
* = starter