Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.3% | 77.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.7% | 83.3% | +8.8 | ✓ (23.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +32 (153-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenyon Martin Jr. * | 31 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 31 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 22 | 4-15 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - | |
| Daishen Nix * | 17 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 15 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - | |
| Josh Christopher | 28 | 7-11 | 2-2 | 4-6 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 16 | - | |
| Tari Eason | 25 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 7-9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 16 | - | |
| TyTy Washington Jr. | 25 | 9-16 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 7 | - | |
| Bruno Fernando | 17 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - | |
| Usman Garuba | 14 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - | |
| Trevor Hudgins | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - | |
| Boban Marjanovic | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Williams * | 30 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | - | |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 30 | 14-23 | 0-2 | 14-15 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 42 | 34 | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 27 | 8-13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 26 | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins * | 22 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - | |
| Mike Muscala * | 18 | 7-10 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 15 | - | |
| Jaylin Williams | 24 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - | |
| Tre Mann | 22 | 4-10 | 1-6 | 2-4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - | |
| Ousmane Dieng | 21 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 18 | 6-10 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - | |
| Darius Bazley | 12 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 10 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
* = starter