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2023-02-04

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 51.8% 48.2% -
Bradley-Terry 61.8% 38.2% -
Margin 60.4% 39.6% -2.3 (7.3 off)
Pythagorean 42.5% 57.5% -
Efficiency 42.2% 57.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 36.0% 64.0% -
Log Adjusted 35.9% 64.1% -
Points Off/Def 36.1% 63.9% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +5 (131-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 39 10-22 1-7 6-9 9 6 0 0 27 - -
Anthony Davis * 38 13-25 2-5 6-7 14 3 1 2 34 - -
Dennis Schroder * 36 1-6 1-2 4-4 2 10 1 0 7 - -
Patrick Beverley * 27 2-3 0-1 3-3 2 4 0 1 7 - -
Rui Hachimura * 18 2-7 1-2 3-4 5 0 1 0 8 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 30 5-9 3-7 0-0 6 1 0 0 13 - -
Russell Westbrook 22 6-11 2-3 1-2 4 4 0 0 15 - -
Lonnie Walker IV 15 4-8 1-4 2-2 1 2 1 0 11 - -
Wenyen Gabriel 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Thomas Bryant 3 1-2 0-1 0-2 1 0 0 0 2 - -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Herbert Jones * 40 2-9 0-2 0-0 4 3 4 0 4 - -
CJ McCollum * 39 8-16 2-5 5-5 2 7 2 0 23 - -
Brandon Ingram * 32 15-28 0-3 5-6 5 4 0 0 35 - -
Trey Murphy III * 28 7-12 4-9 3-3 5 0 0 0 21 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 24 9-13 0-1 0-0 14 5 0 0 18 - -
Jose Alvarado 23 7-11 2-4 2-2 4 2 0 0 18 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 23 3-6 1-2 3-4 9 4 0 0 10 - -
Naji Marshall 22 0-3 0-3 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 - -
Kira Lewis Jr. 5 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -

* = starter