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2023-02-05

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 38.4% 61.6% -
Bradley-Terry 42.4% 57.6% -
Margin 37.1% 62.9% +2.9 (18.9 off)
Pythagorean 62.5% 37.5% -
Efficiency 78.0% 22.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 76.3% 23.7% -
Log Adjusted 76.3% 23.7% -
Points Off/Def 65.5% 34.5% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons -16 (100-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mikal Bridges * 34 9-15 3-7 3-5 2 3 2 1 24 - -
Chris Paul * 32 0-7 0-3 2-2 4 14 2 0 2 - -
Deandre Ayton * 31 13-15 0-0 5-6 16 2 0 1 31 - -
Torrey Craig * 27 5-8 4-4 0-0 5 3 0 0 14 - -
Cameron Johnson * 22 7-9 3-4 3-3 2 2 2 0 20 - -
Dario Saric 22 3-8 0-1 0-0 2 3 0 0 6 - -
Ish Wainright 21 2-4 0-2 1-1 4 1 2 0 5 - -
Damion Lee 18 1-4 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 - -
Saben Lee 15 0-1 0-0 4-6 3 5 2 0 4 - -
Jock Landale 13 2-4 0-0 3-8 6 0 0 0 7 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Isaiah Stewart * 36 7-13 3-8 0-1 9 2 1 0 17 - -
Bojan Bogdanovic * 35 8-17 4-10 3-4 3 2 1 0 23 - -
Jaden Ivey * 32 5-13 2-5 1-5 0 6 3 0 13 - -
Jalen Duren * 27 0-2 0-0 1-2 6 3 0 1 1 - -
Alec Burks * 25 3-8 2-6 0-0 0 2 0 0 8 - -
Saddiq Bey 34 7-12 4-8 7-7 5 4 2 0 25 - -
Killian Hayes 18 1-6 1-3 1-2 1 3 1 0 4 - -
Hamidou Diallo 16 4-8 0-0 1-1 4 1 0 0 9 - -
Isaiah Livers 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Kevin Knox II 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 - -

* = starter