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2023-02-04

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers San Antonio Spurs Spread Result
Elo 25.7% 74.3% -
Bradley-Terry 39.8% 60.2% -
Margin 39.2% 60.8% +2.4 (14.4 off)
Pythagorean 66.2% 33.8% -
Efficiency 85.0% 15.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 83.9% 16.1% -
Log Adjusted 83.9% 16.1% -
Points Off/Def 73.9% 26.1% -

Actual: San Antonio Spurs -12 (125-137). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Joel Embiid * 27 10-18 2-3 11-13 10 4 2 0 33 - -
Tobias Harris * 26 4-7 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 8 - -
James Harden * 24 4-10 2-5 6-8 4 8 0 0 16 - -
De'Anthony Melton * 22 4-7 3-4 2-2 1 1 2 1 13 - -
P.J. Tucker * 21 0-3 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 - -
Tyrese Maxey 27 8-15 3-4 6-7 3 4 1 1 25 - -
Georges Niang 22 5-8 3-5 0-0 3 2 0 1 13 - -
Shake Milton 22 4-7 0-2 6-7 2 3 2 0 14 - -
Montrezl Harrell 15 3-4 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 6 - -
Matisse Thybulle 15 2-4 0-1 0-0 1 1 2 0 4 - -
Danuel House Jr. 7 0-1 0-1 1-4 1 0 2 0 1 - -
Paul Reed 4 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 4 - -
Furkan Korkmaz 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Malaki Branham * 34 11-16 2-5 2-2 2 3 1 0 26 - -
Keldon Johnson * 30 5-11 0-2 8-8 3 3 1 0 18 - -
Keita Bates-Diop * 25 6-8 1-2 0-0 5 1 2 0 13 - -
Josh Richardson * 25 4-9 2-4 0-0 1 7 2 0 10 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 24 8-11 0-0 0-0 10 5 0 0 16 - -
Stanley Johnson 28 5-7 1-1 2-2 2 4 1 0 13 - -
Doug McDermott 18 3-7 0-2 1-1 1 2 0 0 7 - -
Blake Wesley 17 4-7 1-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 9 - -
Zach Collins 16 2-6 0-2 1-2 7 3 0 0 5 - -
Isaiah Roby 10 2-4 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 4 - -
Dominick Barlow 7 2-3 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 4 - -

* = starter