Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 22.6% | 77.4% | +6.8 | ✗ (12.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 76.2% | 23.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets -6 (111-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Trent Jr. * | 38 | 10-15 | 5-9 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Fred VanVleet * | 37 | 10-22 | 5-11 | 7-9 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Scottie Barnes * | 37 | 4-11 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 36 | 10-20 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Precious Achiuwa * | 29 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 5-9 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 22 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | - | - | |
| Christian Koloko | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - | - | |
| Malachi Flynn | 15 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Juancho Hernangomez | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Dalano Banton | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenyon Martin Jr. * | 34 | 8-9 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 33 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 9-12 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Eric Gordon * | 33 | 10-15 | 2-5 | 6-7 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 32 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Daishen Nix * | 32 | 3-13 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Josh Christopher | 18 | 7-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Bruno Fernando | 14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - | - | |
| Tari Eason | 13 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| TyTy Washington Jr. | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter