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2023-02-04

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 40.9% 59.1% -
Bradley-Terry 26.6% 73.4% -
Margin 15.1% 84.9% +9.5 (21.5 off)
Pythagorean 42.8% 57.2% -
Efficiency 31.3% 68.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 32.4% 67.6% -
Log Adjusted 32.3% 67.7% -
Points Off/Def 33.8% 66.2% -

Actual: Boston Celtics -12 (94-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mikal Bridges * 38 9-20 0-3 7-7 2 3 0 0 25 10 -
Chris Paul * 35 6-15 1-5 2-3 6 8 1 1 15 16 -
Deandre Ayton * 34 7-13 0-0 0-1 10 5 0 1 14 17 -
Dario Saric * 29 5-13 4-7 0-0 13 3 0 0 14 17 -
Torrey Craig * 19 1-3 0-1 0-0 5 0 1 1 2 6 -
Ish Wainright 31 3-11 3-8 0-0 6 0 1 2 9 7 -
Damion Lee 26 3-8 3-4 2-2 4 4 2 0 11 13 -
Saben Lee 12 3-4 1-1 0-0 0 2 1 0 7 6 -
Jock Landale 12 4-8 0-3 1-1 7 3 0 1 9 12 -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylen Brown * 39 9-21 3-12 6-9 8 4 3 0 27 21 -
Jayson Tatum * 37 3-15 3-10 11-12 6 5 0 0 20 16 -
Derrick White * 34 6-12 2-4 5-6 5 1 0 0 19 13 -
Al Horford * 30 1-6 1-6 0-0 9 1 0 0 3 7 -
Robert Williams III * 30 3-4 0-0 0-0 7 4 0 3 6 16 -
Malcolm Brogdon 21 5-12 0-3 2-2 4 1 1 0 12 6 -
Grant Williams 21 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 3 -
Payton Pritchard 12 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 2 -
Luke Kornet 9 1-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 4 4 -
Sam Hauser 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Justin Jackson 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter