Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.6% | 62.4% | +2.8 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +3 (107-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domantas Sabonis * | 37 | 6-13 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 26 | - | |
| Kevin Huerter * | 36 | 7-14 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 16 | 12 | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 34 | 7-12 | 3-5 | 6-7 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 19 | - | |
| Keegan Murray * | 24 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - | |
| Davion Mitchell * | 21 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - | |
| Malik Monk | 27 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 20 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - | |
| Terence Davis | 18 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 14 | - | |
| Chimezie Metu | 10 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - | |
| Matthew Dellavedova | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buddy Hield * | 36 | 8-15 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 24 | - | |
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 34 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - | |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 34 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith * | 32 | 6-13 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 15 | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 32 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 21 | - | |
| Bennedict Mathurin | 27 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - | |
| Daniel Theis | 15 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 13 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - | |
| Oshae Brissett | 12 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
* = starter