Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Hornets | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.3% | 87.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.4% | 84.6% | +9.4 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons +6 (118-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaMelo Ball * | 39 | 7-23 | 4-13 | 5-5 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 23 | 21 | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 37 | 3-15 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -3 | - | |
| Terry Rozier * | 35 | 9-19 | 2-10 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 13 | - | |
| Mason Plumlee * | 31 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 9-14 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 17 | - | |
| Gordon Hayward * | 26 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - | |
| Jalen McDaniels | 23 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - | |
| Dennis Smith Jr. | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - | |
| Nick Richards | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - | |
| JT Thor | 10 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - | |
| Mark Williams | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bojan Bogdanovic * | 35 | 8-14 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 11 | - | |
| Jalen Duren * | 32 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 22 | - | |
| Jaden Ivey * | 29 | 8-11 | 4-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 24 | - | |
| Isaiah Stewart * | 28 | 3-12 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 19 | - | |
| Alec Burks * | 26 | 5-12 | 2-7 | 4-5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 12 | - | |
| Saddiq Bey | 30 | 8-16 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 16 | - | |
| Killian Hayes | 23 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - | |
| Hamidou Diallo | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - | |
| Isaiah Livers | 14 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
* = starter