Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.7% | 63.3% | +3.0 | ✓ (14.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +17 (134-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 33 | 10-17 | 5-10 | 3-3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 21 | - | |
| Jonathan Kuminga * | 32 | 7-9 | 2-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 17 | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 31 | 3-14 | 2-3 | 1-3 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - | |
| Jordan Poole * | 26 | 8-15 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 16 | - | |
| Kevon Looney * | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | - | |
| Ty Jerome | 23 | 4-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - | |
| Donte DiVincenzo | 21 | 5-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - | |
| James Wiseman | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 15 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - | |
| Moses Moody | 15 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vlatko Cancar * | 32 | 7-10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 15 | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 32 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 14 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 41 | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 32 | 8-14 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 11 | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 30 | 12-23 | 3-11 | 6-8 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 33 | 24 | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 27 | 6-12 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 8 | - | |
| Bruce Brown | 30 | 6-9 | 3-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 15 | - | |
| Christian Braun | 18 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 17 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - | |
| Jeff Green | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Davon Reed | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Ish Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter