Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.7% | 78.3% | +7.1 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +5 (111-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ McCollum * | 37 | 9-14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Herbert Jones * | 35 | 4-9 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Brandon Ingram * | 35 | 10-20 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| Trey Murphy III * | 33 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 21 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Larry Nance Jr. | 26 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Naji Marshall | 25 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jose Alvarado | 13 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Kira Lewis Jr. | 11 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 40 | 3-18 | 2-12 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 36 | 4-19 | 2-6 | 11-12 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 21 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 33 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 26 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 22 | 12-19 | 2-7 | 5-8 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock | 34 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 30 | 7-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 9 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Davis Bertans | 5 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Frank Ntilikina | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter