Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | New York Knicks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.4% | 71.6% | +5.1 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New York Knicks +2 (106-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro * | 39 | 10-22 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 18 | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 37 | 11-16 | 0-0 | 10-11 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 31 | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 33 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - | |
| Kyle Lowry * | 24 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - | |
| Caleb Martin * | 23 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - | |
| Max Strus | 28 | 5-9 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 10 | - | |
| Gabe Vincent | 25 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith | 17 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - | |
| Udonis Haslem | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
New York Knicks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ Barrett * | 40 | 13-23 | 0-5 | 4-6 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 19 | - | |
| Immanuel Quickley * | 37 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - | |
| Quentin Grimes * | 36 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 16 | - | |
| Julius Randle * | 34 | 8-19 | 3-9 | 4-5 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 23 | 23 | - | |
| Jericho Sims * | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | 28 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 15 | - | |
| Evan Fournier | 18 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - | |
| Obi Toppin | 13 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - | |
| Miles McBride | 10 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
* = starter