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2023-02-03

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 18.1% 81.9% -
Bradley-Terry 28.7% 71.3% -
Margin 23.5% 76.5% +6.5 (8.5 off)
Pythagorean 44.5% 55.5% -
Efficiency 41.0% 59.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 36.5% 63.5% -
Log Adjusted 36.5% 63.5% -
Points Off/Def 37.3% 62.7% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +15 (128-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Santi Aldama * 33 7-15 4-7 3-3 10 1 1 0 21 - -
Desmond Bane * 32 8-15 6-7 3-3 2 1 0 0 25 - -
Ja Morant * 30 9-20 0-1 6-6 8 8 1 1 24 - -
Xavier Tillman * 27 3-3 0-0 0-0 6 3 0 2 6 - -
Dillon Brooks * 22 2-5 0-1 5-6 2 1 1 0 9 - -
John Konchar 28 1-4 0-2 0-0 7 5 2 0 2 - -
Tyus Jones 23 2-8 0-2 2-2 1 3 2 1 6 - -
Brandon Clarke 20 5-7 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 10 - -
David Roddy 10 3-7 0-1 2-2 4 0 1 0 8 - -
Jake LaRavia 6 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Ziaire Williams 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jarrett Allen * 37 9-12 0-0 0-0 11 4 2 2 18 - -
Darius Garland * 33 11-19 4-6 6-6 2 11 0 0 32 - -
Evan Mobley * 33 7-17 0-2 3-5 14 5 1 2 17 - -
Isaac Okoro * 28 5-5 0-0 2-4 3 2 3 0 12 - -
Donovan Mitchell * 22 2-11 2-4 0-0 4 3 1 1 6 - -
Cedi Osman 31 7-11 4-8 3-5 0 4 2 1 21 - -
Ricky Rubio 21 4-9 3-6 2-2 2 4 2 1 13 - -
Dean Wade 17 2-3 1-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 5 - -
Lamar Stevens 12 2-4 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 4 - -
Raul Neto 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter