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2023-02-02

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 23.7% 76.3% -
Bradley-Terry 37.1% 62.9% -
Margin 33.4% 66.6% +3.8 (35.8 off)
Pythagorean 44.4% 55.6% -
Efficiency 40.8% 59.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 42.0% 58.0% -
Log Adjusted 42.0% 58.0% -
Points Off/Def 40.0% 60.0% -

Actual: Phoenix Suns -32 (100-132). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dejounte Murray * 29 8-13 4-7 1-3 6 8 0 0 21 - -
Trae Young * 27 8-17 3-3 1-1 1 12 1 0 20 - -
De'Andre Hunter * 25 6-9 1-2 2-2 5 1 1 0 15 - -
John Collins * 24 4-8 1-4 0-0 2 0 0 3 9 - -
Clint Capela * 22 4-9 0-0 1-1 10 1 1 0 9 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic 24 6-10 4-7 2-2 2 3 0 0 18 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 19 7-7 1-1 2-2 4 0 1 2 17 - -
AJ Griffin 18 2-3 1-1 0-0 2 2 1 0 5 - -
Jalen Johnson 16 2-4 2-3 0-0 11 1 0 0 6 - -
Trent Forrest 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Aaron Holiday 7 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 5 - -
Frank Kaminsky 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -
Justin Holiday 5 2-3 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 5 - -
Vit Krejci 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mikal Bridges * 29 6-18 1-7 10-10 5 7 0 0 23 - -
Deandre Ayton * 26 9-12 0-0 2-3 9 0 0 0 20 - -
Chris Paul * 26 1-6 0-3 1-2 2 3 0 1 3 - -
Torrey Craig * 22 3-5 1-3 0-0 8 1 2 1 7 - -
Cameron Johnson * 15 2-7 1-3 1-1 1 0 0 0 6 - -
Saben Lee 21 2-6 0-0 2-2 3 3 3 0 6 - -
Dario Saric 21 4-7 0-2 3-4 5 3 1 1 11 - -
Damion Lee 20 3-11 0-4 4-4 2 0 0 0 10 - -
Ish Wainright 18 1-3 1-2 1-1 2 0 1 0 4 - -
Josh Okogie 15 0-4 0-2 2-4 2 3 1 1 2 - -
Bismack Biyombo 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 - -
Jock Landale 10 3-6 0-2 0-0 5 0 0 0 6 - -

* = starter