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2023-02-02

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 36.8% 63.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 38.9% 61.1% - ✓
Margin 35.7% 64.3% +3.2 ✓ (1.8 off)
Pythagorean 49.1% 50.9% - ✓
Efficiency 53.5% 46.5% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 53.0% 47.0% - ✗
Log Adjusted 53.0% 47.0% - ✗
Points Off/Def 46.9% 53.1% - ✓

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +5 (119-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 42 8-21 5-12 8-9 10 3 1 1 29 - -
Klay Thompson * 40 3-13 2-7 6-6 6 0 1 0 14 - -
Draymond Green * 39 5-10 0-0 0-3 12 4 1 0 10 - -
Andrew Wiggins * 35 7-13 1-4 1-2 7 3 0 0 16 - -
Jordan Poole * 31 4-13 1-5 9-10 7 5 0 0 18 - -
Kevon Looney 28 4-5 0-0 2-2 9 0 2 2 10 - -
Donte DiVincenzo 24 3-7 1-4 0-0 4 5 1 0 7 - -
Jonathan Kuminga 14 4-8 1-2 1-2 3 0 1 1 10 - -
Anthony Lamb 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Anderson * 39 4-6 0-1 1-5 12 4 0 1 9 - -
Anthony Edwards * 39 10-26 2-11 5-6 6 5 2 1 27 - -
Jaden McDaniels * 38 3-8 0-2 3-4 7 3 1 2 9 - -
Naz Reid * 35 10-22 2-8 2-4 13 4 1 1 24 - -
D'Angelo Russell * 34 11-23 7-17 0-0 2 2 0 0 29 - -
Austin Rivers 27 3-6 2-3 2-2 4 5 1 1 10 - -
Taurean Prince 20 2-7 1-6 0-0 3 1 0 1 5 - -
Jaylen Nowell 16 3-5 0-0 0-1 3 0 0 0 6 - -
Luka Garza 13 0-3 0-2 0-2 3 2 0 0 0 - -

* = starter