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2023-02-02

Model Predictions

Model Oklahoma City Thunder Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 63.6% 36.4% -
Bradley-Terry 63.5% 36.5% -
Margin 70.3% 29.7% -4.7 (10.7 off)
Pythagorean 59.3% 40.7% -
Efficiency 74.7% 25.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 69.1% 30.9% -
Log Adjusted 69.1% 30.9% -
Points Off/Def 60.2% 39.8% -

Actual: Houston Rockets +6 (112-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Josh Giddey * 37 9-18 2-6 0-0 8 8 1 1 20 - -
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * 34 7-23 0-3 10-10 8 4 3 0 24 - -
Jalen Williams * 29 2-9 2-4 2-2 6 3 2 2 8 - -
Isaiah Joe * 20 1-6 1-5 0-0 0 2 1 0 3 - -
Jaylin Williams * 12 2-5 1-3 2-4 4 1 0 1 7 - -
Kenrich Williams 30 6-12 1-5 0-0 6 2 3 0 13 - -
Aaron Wiggins 17 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Tre Mann 16 6-12 4-9 2-2 5 0 1 0 18 - -
Ousmane Dieng 15 1-6 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 2 2 - -
Darius Bazley 14 1-4 0-1 1-2 9 1 0 0 3 - -
Mike Muscala 11 2-5 1-4 1-2 3 0 0 0 6 - -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Eric Gordon * 34 8-17 3-6 6-9 3 3 2 0 25 - -
Alperen Sengun * 32 4-10 0-0 2-4 12 4 0 3 10 - -
Daishen Nix * 32 3-9 0-4 2-2 7 3 0 2 8 - -
Kenyon Martin Jr. * 31 7-13 1-4 3-5 7 4 0 0 18 - -
Jabari Smith Jr. * 26 3-8 1-3 2-2 7 0 0 1 9 - -
Jae'Sean Tate 20 2-6 0-1 0-0 6 3 0 0 4 - -
Tari Eason 19 8-21 1-2 3-3 13 1 3 2 20 - -
Garrison Mathews 18 1-2 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 - -
Josh Christopher 13 4-7 0-1 3-4 4 1 1 0 11 - -
Bruno Fernando 9 1-1 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 4 4 - -

* = starter