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2023-03-08

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 8.2% 91.8% -
Bradley-Terry 19.6% 80.4% -
Margin 9.4% 90.6% +12.5 (14.5 off)
Pythagorean 58.4% 41.6% -
Efficiency 70.4% 29.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 67.6% 32.4% -
Log Adjusted 67.6% 32.4% -
Points Off/Def 58.2% 41.8% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons -2 (117-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bradley Beal * 37 14-21 1-2 3-5 7 7 1 1 32 - -
Kyle Kuzma * 34 9-20 3-8 2-2 3 2 2 1 23 - -
Delon Wright * 32 1-4 0-1 1-2 3 6 5 1 3 - -
Kristaps Porzingis * 31 8-15 3-7 5-6 7 2 0 0 24 - -
Daniel Gafford * 24 4-5 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 1 8 - -
Corey Kispert 32 6-7 4-5 0-0 2 1 0 0 16 - -
Deni Avdija 20 2-2 1-1 2-2 5 2 0 0 7 - -
Jordan Goodwin 16 3-4 0-0 0-0 3 6 0 1 6 - -
Kendrick Nunn 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Taj Gibson 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Isaiah Livers * 37 3-12 3-9 0-0 2 1 2 1 9 - -
James Wiseman * 34 10-13 0-0 1-2 5 3 1 2 21 - -
Jaden Ivey * 31 9-20 3-6 5-6 5 12 1 0 26 - -
Rodney McGruder * 30 3-5 3-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 9 - -
Marvin Bagley III * 29 6-9 0-2 3-3 5 4 0 0 15 - -
Cory Joseph 30 4-7 1-2 2-2 3 6 1 0 11 - -
Eugene Omoruyi 22 5-11 1-2 4-5 6 1 1 0 15 - -
R.J. Hampton 17 3-7 2-5 3-4 1 1 0 0 11 - -
Jared Rhoden 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter