Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.5% | 88.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.9% | 83.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.3% | 88.7% | +11.3 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +9 (122-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ McCollum * | 38 | 7-19 | 2-6 | 5-5 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 12 | - | |
| Herbert Jones * | 36 | 6-8 | 2-4 | 7-8 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 21 | 26 | - | |
| Brandon Ingram * | 32 | 5-17 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - | |
| Trey Murphy III * | 31 | 6-11 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - | |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 18 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - | |
| Naji Marshall | 24 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - | |
| Larry Nance Jr. | 21 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 20 | - | |
| Jose Alvarado | 13 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - | |
| Devonte' Graham | 12 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - | |
| Willy Hernangomez | 9 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 38 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 16 | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 37 | 10-14 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 18 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 47 | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 35 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 2-5 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 15 | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 35 | 10-21 | 7-12 | 5-5 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 32 | 22 | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 30 | 5-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - | |
| Bruce Brown | 20 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - | |
| Jeff Green | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - | |
| Christian Braun | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter