Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Hornets | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.9% | 82.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.0% | 83.0% | +8.7 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +9 (124-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaMelo Ball * | 39 | 10-26 | 3-9 | 4-6 | 10 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 28 | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 37 | 5-13 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - | |
| Terry Rozier * | 35 | 6-20 | 2-9 | 6-6 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 11 | - | |
| Mason Plumlee * | 31 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 22 | - | |
| Gordon Hayward * | 27 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 14 | - | |
| Jalen McDaniels | 24 | 5-13 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - | |
| Dennis Smith Jr. | 17 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - | |
| Mark Williams | 16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - | |
| JT Thor | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jrue Holiday * | 36 | 6-20 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - | |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 35 | 14-24 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 32 | - | |
| Grayson Allen * | 30 | 4-9 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - | |
| Pat Connaughton * | 29 | 3-12 | 1-8 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 27 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 16 | - | |
| Joe Ingles | 21 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - | |
| Khris Middleton | 19 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 8-8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 15 | - | |
| Jevon Carter | 17 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - | |
| Wesley Matthews | 16 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - | |
| Jordan Nwora | 5 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
* = starter