Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 17.9% | 82.1% | +8.4 | ✗ (11.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -3 (97-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo * | 37 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 17 | - | |
| Tyler Herro * | 37 | 6-15 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 11 | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 34 | 6-16 | 1-4 | 10-15 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 17 | - | |
| Caleb Martin * | 34 | 7-8 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 21 | - | |
| Kyle Lowry * | 23 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - | |
| Victor Oladipo | 27 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13 | - | |
| Gabe Vincent | 20 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - | |
| Max Strus | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | |
| Orlando Robinson | 10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Mobley * | 38 | 9-15 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 17 | - | |
| Donovan Mitchell * | 37 | 6-17 | 3-13 | 1-2 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 16 | 15 | - | |
| Jarrett Allen * | 34 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 20 | - | |
| Darius Garland * | 30 | 7-13 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 10 | - | |
| Isaac Okoro * | 25 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - | |
| Caris LeVert | 28 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - | |
| Dean Wade | 21 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - | |
| Ricky Rubio | 17 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - | |
| Cedi Osman | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter