Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.6% | 53.4% | +0.7 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.4% | 35.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.4% | 35.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +4 (129-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dejounte Murray * | 38 | 13-25 | 5-8 | 9-9 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 40 | - | - | |
| John Collins * | 37 | 7-12 | 0-2 | 2-6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| De'Andre Hunter * | 37 | 3-14 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 28 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday * | 15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic | 32 | 7-16 | 4-10 | 5-7 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| AJ Griffin | 21 | 4-9 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 19 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Trent Forrest | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damian Lillard * | 38 | 10-21 | 5-12 | 17-17 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 42 | - | - | |
| Jerami Grant * | 34 | 8-17 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | - | - | |
| Josh Hart * | 34 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Anfernee Simons * | 32 | 8-12 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jusuf Nurkic * | 26 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Shaedon Sharpe | 24 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Gary Payton II | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Nassir Little | 13 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
* = starter