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2023-01-31

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 24.8% 75.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 35.5% 64.5% - ✓
Margin 32.3% 67.7% +4.1 ✓ (3.9 off)
Pythagorean 45.8% 54.2% - ✓
Efficiency 46.6% 53.4% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 44.1% 55.9% - ✓
Log Adjusted 44.2% 55.8% - ✓
Points Off/Def 41.1% 58.9% - ✓

Actual: Phoenix Suns +8 (114-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Fred VanVleet * 39 9-19 2-8 4-5 4 9 1 1 24 - -
Pascal Siakam * 38 7-17 1-4 4-4 3 1 0 0 19 - -
Gary Trent Jr. * 37 8-19 3-10 2-2 3 1 1 0 21 - -
Scottie Barnes * 35 6-14 0-4 4-4 7 5 2 1 16 - -
Precious Achiuwa * 34 5-9 0-1 1-2 12 1 1 1 11 - -
Chris Boucher 24 1-3 1-1 2-2 11 1 0 1 5 - -
Thaddeus Young 14 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 3 0 4 - -
Juancho Hernangomez 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -
Malachi Flynn 7 2-5 2-5 0-0 2 1 0 0 6 - -
Christian Koloko 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mikal Bridges * 38 12-19 3-4 2-2 3 6 3 1 29 - -
Chris Paul * 34 5-11 4-7 5-5 4 9 0 2 19 - -
Deandre Ayton * 31 9-17 0-0 4-4 13 2 0 0 22 - -
Torrey Craig * 26 1-5 0-1 0-0 8 4 0 0 2 - -
Cameron Johnson * 25 1-9 1-6 1-2 3 0 2 0 4 - -
Ish Wainright 19 3-4 1-2 0-0 3 3 3 0 7 - -
Damion Lee 18 4-9 2-6 1-2 2 1 1 1 11 - -
Dario Saric 14 4-6 0-1 3-4 3 0 0 0 11 - -
Saben Lee 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 - -
Jock Landale 8 2-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 4 - -
Bismack Biyombo 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Josh Okogie 5 1-2 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 3 - -

* = starter