Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.6% | 32.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.7% | 51.3% | +0.3 | ✓ (5.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 19.1% | 80.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +6 (111-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bojan Bogdanovic * | 36 | 10-15 | 4-7 | 5-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Saddiq Bey * | 32 | 5-15 | 5-11 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Alec Burks * | 29 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jalen Duren * | 27 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jaden Ivey * | 21 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 4-7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Killian Hayes | 29 | 3-16 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Livers | 28 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Stewart | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Kevin Knox II | 15 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 36 | 17-24 | 5-11 | 14-18 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 53 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 34 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 31 | 5-16 | 0-6 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 29 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 26 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 29 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock | 28 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee | 10 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Davis Bertans | 7 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter