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2023-01-31

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Oklahoma City Thunder Spread Result
Elo 30.0% 70.0% -
Bradley-Terry 24.3% 75.7% -
Margin 16.0% 84.0% +9.1 (17.1 off)
Pythagorean 46.3% 53.7% -
Efficiency 49.1% 50.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 49.6% 50.4% -
Log Adjusted 49.6% 50.4% -
Points Off/Def 44.3% 55.7% -

Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder -8 (120-128). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Klay Thompson * 36 10-21 6-14 2-2 7 3 1 0 28 - -
Stephen Curry * 36 12-20 8-14 6-6 8 12 0 1 38 - -
Andrew Wiggins * 32 7-13 1-4 0-0 4 1 1 2 15 - -
Draymond Green * 31 3-4 0-1 1-2 9 12 2 0 7 - -
Jordan Poole * 30 4-12 2-6 5-8 0 4 2 0 15 - -
Donte DiVincenzo 26 3-8 2-5 0-0 4 3 3 0 8 - -
Kevon Looney 22 3-5 0-0 2-2 6 0 0 1 8 - -
Jonathan Kuminga 12 2-5 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 4 - -
Anthony Lamb 11 2-2 1-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 5 - -

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * 36 10-24 1-2 10-10 4 7 0 3 31 - -
Kenrich Williams * 33 3-9 0-2 1-2 8 2 3 0 7 - -
Jalen Williams * 30 8-14 1-3 2-2 4 2 1 1 19 - -
Josh Giddey * 29 9-18 1-3 2-4 8 6 3 0 21 - -
Aaron Wiggins * 22 1-2 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 - -
Isaiah Joe 25 4-7 2-5 0-0 3 0 0 0 10 - -
Jaylin Williams 17 5-9 2-3 0-0 8 3 1 0 12 - -
Mike Muscala 14 2-3 2-2 2-2 2 1 1 0 8 - -
Tre Mann 12 2-4 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 5 - -
Darius Bazley 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 - -
Ousmane Dieng 6 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter