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2023-01-30

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 28.4% 71.6% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 24.5% 75.5% - ✓
Margin 18.4% 81.6% +8.2 ✓ (16.8 off)
Pythagorean 47.1% 52.9% - ✓
Efficiency 42.3% 57.7% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 45.9% 54.1% - ✓
Log Adjusted 46.0% 54.0% - ✓
Points Off/Def 42.7% 57.3% - ✓

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +25 (135-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trey Murphy III * 36 6-11 4-6 0-1 2 2 1 0 16 - -
Naji Marshall * 34 4-15 0-5 0-1 4 6 0 0 8 - -
Jose Alvarado * 28 4-12 3-7 7-8 3 6 2 0 18 - -
Herbert Jones * 27 4-11 2-3 1-2 5 2 1 1 11 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 22 7-16 0-2 2-2 3 1 1 0 16 - -
Kira Lewis Jr. 27 7-11 1-3 0-0 6 3 0 1 15 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 24 4-10 1-4 1-2 12 1 1 0 10 - -
Jaxson Hayes 21 2-2 0-0 2-3 3 1 0 1 6 - -
Devonte' Graham 17 3-5 2-4 2-2 0 3 1 0 10 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brook Lopez * 31 6-12 0-4 3-4 8 3 1 2 15 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 30 20-26 3-4 7-12 13 4 0 0 50 - -
Jrue Holiday * 30 7-15 1-7 2-4 7 6 0 0 17 - -
Pat Connaughton * 26 2-6 2-5 0-0 6 1 1 0 6 - -
Grayson Allen * 25 3-8 2-6 0-0 1 4 2 0 8 - -
Joe Ingles 25 3-5 3-5 0-0 2 3 1 0 9 - -
Wesley Matthews 19 3-6 2-4 0-0 9 0 0 0 8 - -
Khris Middleton 17 4-9 1-3 0-0 3 4 1 1 9 - -
Jordan Nwora 14 2-3 1-1 0-0 6 1 0 1 5 - -
Jevon Carter 13 2-4 2-4 0-0 1 1 1 0 6 - -
Sandro Mamukelashvili 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
MarJon Beauchamp 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter