Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.9% | 70.1% | +4.7 | ✓ (7.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +12 (112-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buddy Hield * | 34 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith * | 32 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 7-7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 26 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Chris Duarte * | 25 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell * | 22 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Bennedict Mathurin | 31 | 9-20 | 2-6 | 7-8 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Andrew Nembhard | 28 | 5-13 | 1-7 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Jackson | 21 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | - | - | |
| Oshae Brissett | 17 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja Morant * | 41 | 9-21 | 1-6 | 8-9 | 10 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 38 | 12-19 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 28 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 30 | 2-11 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Ziaire Williams * | 20 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Brandon Clarke * | 17 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones | 29 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Xavier Tillman | 25 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| David Roddy | 16 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Santi Aldama | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jake LaRavia | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter