Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Utah Jazz | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 67.9% | 32.1% | -4.1 | ✗ (12.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah Jazz +8 (108-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 41 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 41 | 11-23 | 6-11 | 7-10 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 35 | - | - | |
| Josh Green * | 37 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 30 | 4-12 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock | 33 | 7-10 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Davis Bertans | 13 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Frank Ntilikina | 12 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| A.J. Lawson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Theo Pinson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| McKinley Wright IV | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauri Markkanen * | 36 | 11-20 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 29 | - | - | |
| Mike Conley * | 33 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jordan Clarkson * | 30 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Walker Kessler * | 25 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 14 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk * | 15 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley | 29 | 7-13 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Jarred Vanderbilt | 22 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Collin Sexton | 19 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Ochai Agbaji | 17 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gay | 10 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter