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2023-01-29

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 16.2% 83.8% -
Bradley-Terry 26.2% 73.8% -
Margin 11.8% 88.2% +11.0 (7.0 off)
Pythagorean 38.7% 61.3% -
Efficiency 27.5% 72.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 23.1% 76.9% -
Log Adjusted 23.1% 76.9% -
Points Off/Def 27.4% 72.6% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +4 (125-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 44 15-30 6-12 5-6 9 8 0 0 41 - -
Dennis Schroder * 37 6-12 0-5 1-1 2 3 0 0 13 - -
Patrick Beverley * 36 5-10 4-7 1-2 5 5 2 0 15 - -
Troy Brown Jr. * 26 1-7 0-5 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 - -
Thomas Bryant * 19 1-1 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 0 3 - -
Anthony Davis 33 6-15 1-3 3-4 10 4 0 0 16 - -
Russell Westbrook 25 4-14 0-3 4-5 4 7 1 0 12 - -
Rui Hachimura 23 3-8 0-4 0-0 4 1 0 0 6 - -
Lonnie Walker IV 17 6-8 1-3 0-0 3 1 1 0 13 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 47 8-25 3-10 11-12 11 4 2 1 30 - -
Grant Williams * 38 3-6 2-3 1-2 9 0 1 0 9 - -
Jaylen Brown * 38 13-23 2-9 9-11 9 3 1 1 37 - -
Al Horford * 37 2-6 1-5 2-2 2 3 1 3 7 - -
Derrick White * 35 5-8 2-5 2-2 5 2 0 1 14 - -
Malcolm Brogdon 39 8-15 3-7 7-8 6 4 2 1 26 - -
Luke Kornet 16 0-0 0-0 2-2 2 2 1 2 2 - -
Payton Pritchard 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Sam Hauser 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter