Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.0% | 49.0% | -0.2 | ✓ (9.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 81.1% | 18.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.3% | 19.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.3% | 19.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 70.1% | 29.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -10 (118-128). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikal Bridges * | 40 | 10-18 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 39 | 12-20 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 31 | - | - | |
| Deandre Ayton * | 36 | 11-20 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Cameron Johnson * | 32 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Torrey Craig * | 30 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Dario Saric | 23 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Damion Lee | 20 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Bismack Biyombo | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Saben Lee | 13 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Josh Okogie | 11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keldon Johnson * | 40 | 15-26 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 34 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan * | 39 | 11-25 | 3-6 | 5-5 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 33 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop * | 32 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones * | 27 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Stanley Johnson | 25 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 20 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham | 20 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter