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2023-01-29

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 14.9% 85.1% -
Bradley-Terry 29.7% 70.3% -
Margin 19.8% 80.2% +7.7 (0.7 off)
Pythagorean 51.1% 48.9% -
Efficiency 58.2% 41.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 57.6% 42.4% -
Log Adjusted 57.7% 42.3% -
Points Off/Def 50.6% 49.4% -

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +7 (117-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Domantas Sabonis * 39 9-13 0-1 5-8 10 5 0 0 23 25 -
Harrison Barnes * 36 1-7 1-4 10-11 3 1 1 0 13 11 -
Kevin Huerter * 35 4-12 2-7 1-2 7 3 0 0 11 9 -
De'Aaron Fox * 34 10-24 1-7 8-10 3 6 2 0 29 16 -
Keegan Murray * 32 3-8 2-6 0-0 4 0 0 0 8 4 -
Malik Monk 18 5-6 3-4 0-1 3 3 0 0 13 13 -
Davion Mitchell 17 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 5 1 0 4 10 -
Trey Lyles 12 0-2 0-2 2-2 2 0 1 0 2 3 -
Chimezie Metu 8 3-5 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 7 3 -
KZ Okpala 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Richaun Holmes 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Edwards * 37 14-21 5-7 1-2 10 6 2 1 34 32 -
D'Angelo Russell * 37 8-14 7-9 2-2 2 6 1 0 25 20 -
Rudy Gobert * 35 3-5 0-0 7-9 14 1 1 1 13 25 -
Jaden McDaniels * 35 6-12 3-7 0-0 8 2 0 0 15 13 -
Kyle Anderson * 26 2-4 1-1 4-5 4 5 0 0 9 14 -
Austin Rivers 23 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 1 -
Jaylen Nowell 17 2-8 0-4 0-0 4 4 0 0 4 4 -
Naz Reid 13 6-9 1-4 1-1 2 0 0 0 14 7 -
Nathan Knight 7 0-1 0-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 0 -
Luka Garza 4 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
Wendell Moore Jr. 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter