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2023-01-29

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 40.2% 59.8% -
Bradley-Terry 41.4% 58.6% -
Margin 36.6% 63.4% +3.0 (22.0 off)
Pythagorean 52.9% 47.1% -
Efficiency 60.3% 39.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 61.0% 39.0% -
Log Adjusted 61.0% 39.0% -
Points Off/Def 53.0% 47.0% -

Actual: Orlando Magic -19 (109-128). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nikola Vucevic * 39 11-18 2-5 2-2 13 6 0 2 26 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 38 11-14 5-5 5-6 2 8 0 1 32 - -
Patrick Williams * 36 7-11 2-4 0-0 6 2 1 1 16 - -
Zach LaVine * 36 11-18 3-7 7-7 3 1 0 0 32 - -
Ayo Dosunmu * 21 1-4 1-4 0-0 4 1 0 2 3 - -
Alex Caruso 20 3-3 0-0 1-2 2 3 2 0 7 - -
Coby White 19 0-5 0-3 0-0 3 3 1 0 0 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. 14 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 5 - -
Goran Dragic 12 2-5 2-5 1-2 4 5 0 0 7 - -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paolo Banchero * 24 3-14 0-4 3-4 7 3 1 0 9 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 24 4-8 0-2 3-5 5 2 0 0 11 - -
Franz Wagner * 22 3-8 0-2 1-1 2 4 0 0 7 - -
Markelle Fultz * 21 3-7 0-0 1-2 1 3 0 0 7 - -
Gary Harris * 19 3-4 1-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 7 - -
Cole Anthony 30 9-15 3-5 0-0 6 6 0 0 21 - -
Jalen Suggs 26 4-6 2-4 1-3 4 5 1 0 11 - -
Bol Bol 23 2-3 0-1 0-0 5 2 0 0 4 - -
Moritz Wagner 23 8-11 3-4 8-9 2 3 1 0 27 - -
Admiral Schofield 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Jonathan Isaac 8 2-7 1-4 0-0 4 0 1 0 5 - -

* = starter