Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.0% | 51.0% | +0.2 | ✗ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -3 (114-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 33 | 2-12 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | - | - | |
| Eric Gordon * | 33 | 8-17 | 1-8 | 7-7 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Tari Eason * | 30 | 7-15 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Daishen Nix * | 26 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Kenyon Martin Jr. * | 26 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 20 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Usman Garuba | 19 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Josh Christopher | 16 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Bruno Fernando | 16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| TyTy Washington Jr. | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bojan Bogdanovic * | 37 | 6-17 | 1-6 | 5-6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Alec Burks * | 27 | 6-12 | 6-11 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jaden Ivey * | 27 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 6-8 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Saddiq Bey * | 27 | 4-11 | 1-7 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jalen Duren * | 24 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Livers | 25 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Stewart | 23 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Killian Hayes | 20 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Hamidou Diallo | 19 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Kevin Knox II | 6 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
* = starter