Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Philadelphia 76ers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 67.2% | 32.8% | -3.9 | ✗ (10.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Philadelphia 76ers +7 (126-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 38 | 7-16 | 2-7 | 6-7 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 38 | 8-12 | 2-2 | 6-6 | 8 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 24 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 33 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 29 | 8-10 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 28 | 7-11 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown | 21 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 21 | 4-10 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 18 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 9 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - |
Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Embiid * | 37 | 18-31 | 4-7 | 7-10 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 47 | - | - | |
| James Harden * | 35 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 4-6 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Tobias Harris * | 32 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| P.J. Tucker * | 24 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| De'Anthony Melton * | 22 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Tyrese Maxey | 30 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 3-6 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Georges Niang | 18 | 5-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Shake Milton | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Matisse Thybulle | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Montrezl Harrell | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter